Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 15.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.