MX23RW : Friday, January 17 23:39:21| >> :600:1131973:1131973:
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Stadion Vitosha

CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 - 1
Pafos

Ilievski (29'), Thalis (51' pen.)
Thalis (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tankovic (10')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between CSKA 1948 Sofia and Pafos FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Buducnost 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia
Thursday, August 1 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Pafos 3-0 Zalgiris
Thursday, August 1 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA 1948 Sofia win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Pafos FC had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA 1948 Sofia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Pafos FC win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA 1948 Sofia would win this match.

Result
CSKA 1948 SofiaDrawPafos FC
38.49% (0.035999999999994 0.04) 26.59% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 34.92% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.15% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.24% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)52.75% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.61% (-0.055 -0.05)74.38% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
CSKA 1948 Sofia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27% (-0.012 -0.01)26.72% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.01% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)61.98% (0.012 0.01)
Pafos FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)28.82% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.32% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)64.67% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    CSKA 1948 Sofia 38.48%
    Pafos FC 34.92%
    Draw 26.58%
CSKA 1948 SofiaDrawPafos FC
1-0 @ 10.16% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.71% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.48%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.7% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 9.58% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 34.92%

How you voted: CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Pafos

CSKA 1948 Sofia
30.0%
Draw
40.0%
Pafos FC
30.0%
10
rhs 2.0
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