MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 15:00:45| >> :120:19531:19531:
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Stadion Vitosha

CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 - 1
Pafos

Ilievski (29'), Thalis (51' pen.)
Thalis (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tankovic (10')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between CSKA 1948 Sofia and Pafos FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Buducnost 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia
Thursday, August 1 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Pafos 3-0 Zalgiris
Thursday, August 1 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA 1948 Sofia win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Pafos FC had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA 1948 Sofia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Pafos FC win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA 1948 Sofia would win this match.

Result
CSKA 1948 SofiaDrawPafos FC
38.49% (0.035999999999994 0.04) 26.59% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 34.92% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.15% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.24% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)52.75% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.61% (-0.055 -0.05)74.38% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
CSKA 1948 Sofia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27% (-0.012 -0.01)26.72% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.01% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)61.98% (0.012 0.01)
Pafos FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)28.82% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.32% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)64.67% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    CSKA 1948 Sofia 38.48%
    Pafos FC 34.92%
    Draw 26.58%
CSKA 1948 SofiaDrawPafos FC
1-0 @ 10.16% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.71% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.48%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.7% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 9.58% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 34.92%

How you voted: CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Pafos

CSKA 1948 Sofia
30.0%
Draw
40.0%
Pafos FC
30.0%
10
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!