MX23RW : Thursday, April 17 16:24:27| >> :120:20010:20010:
FC Twente logo
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Hammarby

FC Twente
1 - 0
Hammarby

Steijn (53')
Propper (45'), Hilgers (65'), Vlap (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pinas (3'), Strand (83')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between FC Twente and Hammarby.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 1-0 Sparta
Sunday, June 11 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Brommapojkarna 1-0 Hammarby
Friday, July 21 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 53.39%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawHammarby
53.39% (0.090000000000003 0.09) 21.74% (-0.029 -0.03) 24.87% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 62.73% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.74% (0.078000000000003 0.08)36.26% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.62% (0.084000000000003 0.08)58.38% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.27% (0.054000000000002 0.05)13.73% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.01% (0.109 0.11)40.99% (-0.111 -0.11)
Hammarby Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)27.29% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)62.73% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 53.39%
    Hammarby 24.87%
    Draw 21.74%
FC TwenteDrawHammarby
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 7.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.35% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.15% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 53.39%
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.75% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.74%
1-2 @ 6.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.87% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 24.87%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Hammarby

FC Twente
Draw
Hammarby
FC Twente
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Hammarby
11.1%
9
rhs 2.0
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