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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | 2nd Leg
Jun 11, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Sparta Rotterdam logo

FC Twente
1 - 0
Sparta

Brenet (53')
Pleguezuelo (45+2'), Brama (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sambo (47'), van Crooij (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 1-1 FC Twente
Thursday, June 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 1-1 FC Twente
Thursday, June 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam (FC Twente to win 3-2 on aggregate)

Following Thursday's stalemate, FC Twente and Sparta Rotterdam have now played out three draws this season, although the Tukkers could – and probably should – have defeated De Kasteelheren last time out. Sunday's showdown looks destined to be another closely-fought battle, but we expect Twente to edge Sparta this time around, as the Pride of the East have won 16 of their 22 home games this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawSparta Rotterdam
60.28% (0.255 0.26) 20.62% (0.067 0.07) 19.1% (-0.329 -0.33)
Both teams to score 58.19% (-0.849 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.59% (-0.837 -0.84)38.4% (0.83 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.3% (-0.893 -0.89)60.69% (0.887 0.89)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61% (-0.193 -0.19)12.38% (0.185 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.75% (-0.395 -0.39)38.25% (0.388 0.39)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.42% (-0.825 -0.83)33.57% (0.818 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.78% (-0.911 -0.91)70.22% (0.905 0.91)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 60.28%
    Sparta Rotterdam 19.1%
    Draw 20.62%
FC TwenteDrawSparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.07% (0.227 0.23)
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.278 0.28)
3-1 @ 6.89% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.32% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.6% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.3% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.96% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 60.28%
1-1 @ 9.48% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.16% (0.162 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.62%
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.54% (0.078 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 0.9% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 19.1%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Sparta

FC Twente
84.1%
Draw
6.8%
Sparta Rotterdam
9.1%
44
Head to Head
Jun 8, 2023 7pm
Sparta
1-1
FC Twente
Van Crooij (47' pen.)
Eerdhuijzen (31'), Verschueren (90+6')
Zerrouki (90+2')
Pleguezuelo (25'), Brenet (27'), Sadilek (53'), Propper (53'), Misidjan (90+6')
Apr 23, 2023 11.15am
gameweek 30
FC Twente
3-3
Sparta
Brenet (22'), Abels (65' og.), Cerny (67')
Lauritsen (32', 42'), Sambo (90+1')
Nov 11, 2022 7pm
gameweek 14
Sparta
1-1
FC Twente
Steijn (63')
Apr 22, 2022 7pm
gameweek 27
FC Twente
2-0
Sparta
Van Wolfswinkel (23'), Vlap (57')

Vriends (51'), Verschueren (59'), Masouras (79')
Nov 20, 2021 5.45pm
gameweek 12
Sparta
0-1
FC Twente

Masouras (82')
Van Wolfswinkel (83' pen.)
Vlap (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV18151261154646
2Ajax18133239172242
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1812333629739
4Feyenoord18105341231835
5FC Twente18104438231534
6AZ AlkmaarAZ18103533191433
7Go Ahead Eagles188463327628
8Fortuna SittardSittard187472528-325
9Heerenveen187382133-1224
10Willem II186482325-222
11NAC BredaNAC Breda1871102131-1022
12NECNijmegen1862102424020
13PEC Zwolle184591627-1117
14Groningen174581426-1217
15Heracles173681934-1515
16Sparta RotterdamSparta182791527-1213
17Almere CityAlmere City1824121037-2710
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1814131943-247


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