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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 54.17%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 23.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Twente |
23.3% | 22.53% | 54.17% |
Both teams to score 58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.36% | 41.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.95% | 64.04% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.51% | 31.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.12% | 67.88% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.66% | 15.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.9% | 44.1% |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 6.05% 1-0 @ 5.58% 2-0 @ 3.23% 3-1 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.7% Total : 23.3% | 1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 5.67% 0-0 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-1 @ 9.06% 0-2 @ 8.49% 1-3 @ 6.13% 0-3 @ 5.31% 2-3 @ 3.54% 1-4 @ 2.87% 0-4 @ 2.49% 2-4 @ 1.66% 1-5 @ 1.08% 0-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.81% Total : 54.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |