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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 1-0 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Heerenveen |
60.98% ( -0.15) | 20.04% ( 0.05) | 18.98% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 60.12% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.2% ( -0.06) | 35.8% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.12% ( -0.07) | 57.88% ( 0.07) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.61% ( -0.06) | 11.39% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.86% ( -0.13) | 36.14% ( 0.13) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.85% ( 0.07) | 32.15% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.37% ( 0.08) | 68.63% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.65% Total : 60.98% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.04% | 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 18.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
4 | FC Twente | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
5 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
6 | Groningen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
9 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
13 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 6 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 0 |
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