MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 10:02:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
Hammarby
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 15
Jul 16, 2023 at 2pm UK
Tele2 Arena

Hammarby
3 - 1
Kalmar

Erabi (11'), Dukanovic (32'), Tekie (90+9')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Shamoun (76')
Jensen (86'), Shamoun (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Hammarby and Kalmar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sirius 1-2 Hammarby
Sunday, July 9 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Kalmar 0-4 Elfsborg
Sunday, July 9 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Hammarby 1-1 Kalmar

Sunday's showdown looks destined to be a close-fought battle between two inconsistent teams, so we can see Hammarby and Kalmar producing a low-scoring draw at the Tele2 Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 21.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Kalmar win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.

Result
HammarbyDrawKalmar
55.49% (0.325 0.32) 23.42% (-0.136 -0.14) 21.09% (-0.188 -0.19)
Both teams to score 52.06% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.91% (0.34399999999999 0.34)48.09% (-0.344 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.74% (0.314 0.31)70.25% (-0.31400000000001 -0.31)
Hammarby Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82% (0.241 0.24)17.18% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.57% (0.424 0.42)47.43% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42)
Kalmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.86% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)37.14% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.08% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)73.92% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hammarby 55.48%
    Kalmar 21.09%
    Draw 23.42%
HammarbyDrawKalmar
1-0 @ 11.23% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.9% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.81% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.9% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 55.48%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.42%
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 21.09%

How you voted: Hammarby vs Kalmar

Hammarby
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Kalmar
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 29
Hammarby
4-2
Kalmar
Ludwigson (3', 58'), Jeahze (63'), Lindahl (81' og.)
Nanasi (53'), Berg (70')
May 8, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 7
Kalmar
2-0
Hammarby
Shamoun (35', 38')
Dec 4, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 30
Hammarby
5-3
Kalmar
Seljmani (6', 20', 23', 50'), Matko (76')
Jansson (33'), Ring (56'), Israelsson (73')
Ring (10'), Sachpekidis (71')
May 23, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 8
Kalmar
2-1
Hammarby
Romarinho (39'), Sjostedt (68')
Romarinho (90+3')
Ludwigson (7')
Sandberg (11'), Magyar (82'), Paulinho (90+1')
Aug 30, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 18
Hammarby
3-3
Kalmar
Magyar (28'), Johannsson (47', 60' pen.)
Ludwigson (33')
Johansson (34' pen.), Ingelsson (37'), Ahl-Holmstrom (82')
Aliti (54'), Nouri (78'), Ahl-Holmstrom (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo30198367254265
2HammarbyHammarby30166848252354
3AIK FotbollAIK30173104641554
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden30165945351053
5Mjallby AIF3014884435950
6GAISGAIS30146103634248
7ElfsborgElfsborg30136115244845
8HackenHacken30126125451342
9SiriusSirius30125134746141
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna30810124653-734
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping3097143657-2134
12Halmstads BKHalmstad30103173250-1833
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg30710133343-1031
14Varnamo30710133040-1031
15KalmarKalmar3086163858-2030
16Vasteras SKVasteras3065192643-1723


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