Eredivisie | Gameweek 34
May 28, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
FC Twente3 - 1Ajax
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-5 FC Twente
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 3-1 Utrecht
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
We said: FC Twente 0-2 Ajax
While Twente have nothing to play for, Ajax's European ambitions potentially hinge on Sunday's result. Heitinga's side cannot afford a slip-up this weekend and we fancy them to claim all three points in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.58%) and 2-0 (5.33%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Ajax |
| 39.07% | 23.41% | 37.52% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 63.74% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.08% ( 0.01) | 37.93% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.82% ( 0) | 60.19% ( -0) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.21% ( 0) | 19.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.14% ( 0) | 51.86% ( 0) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.47% ( 0) | 20.53% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.97% ( 0.01) | 53.03% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
FC Twente 39.07%
Ajax 37.52%
Draw 23.41%
| FC Twente | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% 1-0 @ 6.58% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.33% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.21% Total : 39.07% | 1-1 @ 10.42% 2-2 @ 6.68% 0-0 @ 4.06% 3-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 8.25% 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.09% 1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.72% 2-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.99% Total : 37.52% |
How you voted: FC Twente vs Ajax
FC Twente
28.6%Draw
21.4%Ajax
50.0%14
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2023 5.45pm
Round of 16
FC Twente
0-1
Ajax
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
gameweek 16
Ajax
0-0
FC Twente
Jan 14, 2021 7pm
