Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 6pm UK
Groupama Arena
Ferencvaros2 - 1Hamrun Spartans
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Ferencvaros and Hamrun Spartans.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ferencvaros 1-2 Puskas Academy
Sunday, August 13 at 5.45pm in Hungarian NB I
Sunday, August 13 at 5.45pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Hamrun Spartans 1-6 Ferencvaros
Thursday, August 10 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 10 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Ferencvaros | 6 | 3.00 | Lisztes |
| 2 | Puskas Academy | 6 | 2.00 | Colley |
| 3 | Ujpest | 6 | 2.00 | Ljujic |
| 4 | Diosgyor | 5 | 1.67 | Edomwonyi |
| 5 | Debrecen | 4 | 2.00 | Loncar |
| 6 | Fehervar | 4 | 1.33 | Kodro |
| 7 | Kecskemeti TE | 4 | 2.00 | Szalai |
| 8 | Mezokovesdi | 4 | 1.33 | Drazic |
| 9 | Varda SE | 3 | 1.00 | Mesanovic |
| 10 | MTK | 2 | 0.67 | Nemeth |
| 11 | Paksi SE | 2 | 1.00 | Bode |
| 12 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 2 | 0.67 | Sajban |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 59.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Hamrun Spartans had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Hamrun Spartans win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Hamrun Spartans |
59.57% ( 1.58) | 22.2% ( -0.5) | 18.22% ( -1.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.2% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
