Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium
Hamrun Spartans1 - 6Ferencvaros
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Hamrun Spartans and Ferencvaros.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 Hamrun Spartans
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fehervar 3-5 Ferencvaros
Sunday, August 6 at 4.45pm in Hungarian NB I
Sunday, August 6 at 4.45pm in Hungarian NB I
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Hamrun Spartans had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Hamrun Spartans win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamrun Spartans | Draw | Ferencvaros |
| 32.47% | 27.79% | 39.74% |
| Both teams to score 47.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
