Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2023 at 7pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium
Hamrun Spartans2 - 1Dinamo Tbilisi
FT(HT: 0-0)
Marusic (59')
Tabidze (13'), Kharaishvili (63'), Loria (67'), Oulad Omar (70'), Margvelashvili (79')
Tabidze (13'), Kharaishvili (63'), Loria (67'), Oulad Omar (70'), Margvelashvili (79')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Hamrun Spartans and Dinamo Tbilisi.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 2-1 Hamrun Spartans
Tuesday, July 18 at 6pm in Champions League
Tuesday, July 18 at 6pm in Champions League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Dinamo Tbilisi had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Dinamo Tbilisi win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamrun Spartans would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamrun Spartans | Draw | Dinamo Tbilisi |
42.6% ( -0.02) | 26.03% ( 0) | 31.36% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.97% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
