We said: FK Zalgiris 1-2 Slovan Bratislava
FK Zalgiris might be bottom of the group at the moment, but they have the advantage of being at home on Thursday, which could prove to be crucial.
The fact that the hosts still have the potential to progress to the knockout stages will help them, but ultimately the visitors should have enough strength to get the win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Slovan Bratislava in this match.