UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Oct 27, 2022 at 8pm UK

St. Jakob-Park

Basel
2 - 2
Zalgiris

Diouf (1'), Zeqiri (17')
Xhaka (83'), Burger (89')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Oyewusi (42', 62')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Basel and FK Zalgiris, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Basel 3-1 Winterthur
Sunday, October 23 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

FK Zalgiris

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Zalgiris 2-1 Pyunik
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Young Boys	29	2.23	Nsame
2	Grasshopper	25	1.92	Kawabe
3	St Gallen	24	1.85	Akolo
4	Luzern	20	1.67	Meyer
5	Sion	20	1.54	Stojilkovic
6	Lugano	19	1.46	Celar
7	Basel	18	1.50	Burger
8	Servette	16	1.23	Fofana
9	Winterthur	10	0.77	Buess
10	FC Zurich	8	0.62	Dzemaili

We said: Basel 3-0 FK Zalgiris

FK Zalgiris have struggled for goals in the competition so far, scoring in just one of their four games which could be a problem against the current group leaders. Basel have the chance to secure their qualification to the next round with a win in this match, and in front of their own fans that is something they will believe can happen. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a FK Zalgiris win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Basel	Draw	FK Zalgiris
53.48% ( 0.02)	26.29% ( -0.01)	20.23% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 42.82% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.28% (

0.01)

59.72% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.98% (

0.01)

80.02% (

-0.01)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.5% (

0.02)

22.5% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.93% (

0.02)

56.07% (

-0.02)

FK Zalgiris Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.26% (

-0.01)

44.74% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.27% (

-0.01)

80.73% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Basel 53.47%

FK Zalgiris 20.23%

Draw 26.27%

Basel	Draw	FK Zalgiris
1-0 @ 15.01% 2-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 53.47%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.62% Other @ 0.52% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.74% Total : 20.23%