MX23RW : Monday, December 23 07:36:07| >> :600:233980:233980:
Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2022 at 8pm UK
Turner Stadium

Be'er Sheva
1 - 1
Lech Poznan

Hemed (9' pen.)
Elias (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Szymczak (44')
Karlstrom (68'), Marchwinski (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Hapoel Be'er Sheva and Lech Poznan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lech Poznan 0-0 Be'er Sheva
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lech Poznan 0-0 Be'er Sheva
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Hapoel Be'er Sheva 0-1 Lech Poznan

Like the last fixture between the two sides, we would expect this game to be tight, but with more attacking threat and an array of potential scorers, we expect that Lech Poznan will find a way to score. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Hapoel Be'er ShevaDrawLech Poznan
43.05% (0.044000000000004 0.04) 25.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 31.9% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)46.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.85% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)69.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.22% (0.021000000000001 0.02)21.78% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.03% (0.029000000000003 0.03)54.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)27.87% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)63.48% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Hapoel Be'er Sheva 43.05%
    Lech Poznan 31.9%
    Draw 25.06%
Hapoel Be'er ShevaDrawLech Poznan
1-0 @ 9.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.58% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 43.05%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.76% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.95% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 31.9%

How you voted: Be'er Sheva vs Lech Poznan

Hapoel Be'er Sheva
17.9%
Draw
25.6%
Lech Poznan
56.4%
39
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 5.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!