MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 18:38:21| >> :600:1011643:1011643:
Villarreal logo
Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

Villarreal
4 - 3
Lech Poznan

Chukwueze (32'), Baena (36', 40'), Coquelin (89')
Mandi (46'), Cuenca (51'), Chukwueze (64'), Baena (83')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Skoras (2'), Ishak (46' pen., 61')
Murawski (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Villarreal and Lech Poznan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dudelange 1-1 Lech Poznan
Thursday, August 25 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Villarreal 3-0 Lech Poznan

Emery will likely rotate his squad slightly to ensure they remain fresh, but they have quality in abundance and should still have more than enough to cruise to a victory on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 17.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Lech Poznan win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawLech Poznan
56.25% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 25.87% (-0.099 -0.1) 17.87% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 40.52% (0.288 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.16% (0.355 0.36)60.84% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.12% (0.267 0.27)80.87% (-0.265 -0.27)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (0.17999999999999 0.18)21.8% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.98% (0.272 0.27)55.01% (-0.268 -0.27)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.82% (0.249 0.25)48.17% (-0.245 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.64% (0.183 0.18)83.36% (-0.179 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 56.24%
    Lech Poznan 17.87%
    Draw 25.86%
VillarrealDrawLech Poznan
1-0 @ 15.99% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 12.18% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.19% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.52% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.36% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 56.24%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.5% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 3.25% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 7.67% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.27% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.8% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.04% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 17.87%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Lech Poznan

Villarreal
86.4%
Draw
6.4%
Lech Poznan
7.3%
110
rhs 2.0
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