MX23RW : Monday, December 23 11:43:03| >> :600:248796:248796:
Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
INEA Stadion
F91 Dudelange

Lech Poznan
2 - 0
Dudelange

Velde (6'), Ishak (66')
Milic (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Diouf (64'), da Cruz (78')
Coverage of the Conference League Playoffs clash between Lech Poznan and F91 Dudelange.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Lech Poznan 4-1 Vikingur
Thursday, August 11 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Dudelange 2-2 Malmo
Thursday, August 11 at 7pm in Europa League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for F91 Dudelange had a probability of 38.86% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.03%) and 3-1 (4.78%). The likeliest F91 Dudelange win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawF91 Dudelange
39.1% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 22.04% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 38.86% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Both teams to score 69.26% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.19% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)30.81% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.84% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)52.15% (0.089000000000006 0.09)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.27% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)16.73% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.35% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)46.64% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
F91 Dudelange Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.17% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)16.83% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.18% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)46.81% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 39.1%
    F91 Dudelange 38.86%
    Draw 22.04%
Lech PoznanDrawF91 Dudelange
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.03% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.5% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.26% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 39.1%
1-1 @ 8.97% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 7.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 2.82% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 22.04%
1-2 @ 7.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 5.02% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 4.25% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.12% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.89% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
3-4 @ 1.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 38.86%

How you voted: Lech Poznan vs Dudelange

Lech Poznan
80.8%
Draw
7.7%
F91 Dudelange
11.5%
26
rhs 2.0
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