MX23RW : Thursday, September 12 14:35:23| >> :600:394382:394382:
Lens logo
Europa Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Panathinaikos

Lens
2 - 1
Panathinaikos

Frankowski (4'), Said (34')
Medina (13'), Danso (82'), Frankowski (90+8')
Medina (20')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ioannidis (53')
Tete (44'), Gnezda Cerin (71'), Vagiannidis (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Lens and Panathinaikos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Angers 0-1 Lens
Sunday, August 18 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Panathinaikos 0-1 Asteras
Sunday, August 18 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

We said: Lens 2-0 Panathinaikos

Lens have had an impressive home record in recent seasons, and with Panathinaikos coming into this one on the back of a mixed start to their campaign, we expect the hosts to win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lens in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
LensDrawPanathinaikos
49.31% (-0.117 -0.12) 23.53% (-0.052 -0.05) 27.15% (0.165 0.16)
Both teams to score 58.61% (0.317 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.31% (0.356 0.36)42.68% (-0.361 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.91% (0.354 0.35)65.08% (-0.358 -0.36)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.54% (0.090000000000003 0.09)17.45% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.08% (0.16 0.16)47.92% (-0.164 -0.16)
Panathinaikos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71% (0.304 0.3)28.99% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.11% (0.379 0.38)64.89% (-0.38300000000001 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Lens 49.31%
    Panathinaikos 27.15%
    Draw 23.53%
LensDrawPanathinaikos
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.71% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.42% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 49.31%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.044 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.06% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 6.77% (0.029 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.26% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 27.15%

How you voted: Lens vs Panathinaikos

Lens
82.8%
Draw
7.8%
Panathinaikos
9.4%
64
rhs 2.0
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