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Europa League
Panathinaikos
Europa League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 7pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis

Panathinaikos
2 - 1
Botev Plovdiv

Jeremejeff (8'), Bakasetas (44' pen.)
Mancini (69'), Dragowski (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Korosec (71')
Eto'o (30'), Perera Calderon (34'), Korosec (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Panathinaikos and Botev Plovdiv, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panathinaikos

All competitions
Last Game: Panathinaikos 1-0 M. Netanya
Thursday, July 18 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3

Botev Plovdiv

All competitions
Last Game: Maribor 2-2 Botev Plovdiv
Thursday, July 18 at 7.15pm in Europa League

We said: Panathinaikos 2-0 Botev Plovdiv

 With the visitors already having two competitive fixtures in their legs, Panathinaikos will be wary of being caught short in terms of fitness. However, we expect Alonso's men to come through in a professional manner, potentially with a goal in either half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Botev Plovdiv had a probability of 17.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Botev Plovdiv win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.

Result
PanathinaikosDrawBotev Plovdiv
60.3%21.72%17.98%
Both teams to score 52.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.82%45.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47%67.53%
Panathinaikos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45%14.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.41%42.59%
Botev Plovdiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.2%38.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.47%75.53%
Score Analysis
    Panathinaikos 60.29%
    Botev Plovdiv 17.98%
    Draw 21.71%
PanathinaikosDrawBotev Plovdiv
1-0 @ 10.87%
2-0 @ 10.48%
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 6.74%
3-1 @ 6.38%
4-0 @ 3.25%
4-1 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-2 @ 1.46%
5-0 @ 1.25%
5-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 60.29%
1-1 @ 10.3%
0-0 @ 5.64%
2-2 @ 4.7%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.71%
0-1 @ 5.34%
1-2 @ 4.88%
0-2 @ 2.53%
1-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 17.98%

How you voted: Panathinaikos vs Botev Plovdiv

Panathinaikos
86.2%
Draw
6.9%
Botev Plovdiv
6.9%
58
rhs 2.0
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