Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Arena Lublin
Luhansk1 - 0U Craiova
Nagnoynyi (55')
Nagnoynyi (50'), Danchenko (59'), Nazaryna (90+4')
Nagnoynyi (50'), Danchenko (59'), Nazaryna (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bancu (6'), Capatina (55')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Zorya Luhansk and Universitatea Craiova.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 1-1 Luhansk
Sunday, December 12 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Sunday, December 12 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Dynamo Kiev | 14 | 28 | 35 |
| 3 | Zorya Luhansk | 14 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Vorskla Poltava | 14 | 12 | 28 |
Last Game: U Craiova 3-0 Vllaznia Shkoder
Thursday, July 28 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 28 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Universitatea Craiova had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Universitatea Craiova win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Zorya Luhansk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Universitatea Craiova |
41.75% ( 0.02) | 25.93% ( -0) | 32.32% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.66% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
