UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Nov 25, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
4 - 0
Luhansk

Perez (15'), Zaniolo (33'), Abraham (46', 75')
Karsdorp (90+1'), Mancini (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Roma and Zorya Luhansk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Roma 3-1 Zorya Luhansk

Looking to avoid the stress of requiring a result in their last match, Mourinho will likely name a strong side on Thursday. While their defensive frailties could be on show again, the Italian giants should have plenty in the tank to post a convincing win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 11.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.08%) and 3-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.67%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Zorya Luhansk
64.91%	23.24%	11.85%

Both teams to score 34.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.74%

61.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.81%

81.19%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.39%

18.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.1%

49.9%

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.66%

57.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.77%

89.23%

Score Analysis

Roma 64.9%

Zorya Luhansk 11.85%

Draw 23.24%

Roma	Draw	Zorya Luhansk
1-0 @ 17.94% 2-0 @ 15.08% 3-0 @ 8.46% 2-1 @ 8.39% 3-1 @ 4.7% 4-0 @ 3.56% 4-1 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.31% 5-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.3% Total : 64.9%	0-0 @ 10.67% 1-1 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 2.33% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.24%	0-1 @ 5.93% 1-2 @ 2.78% 0-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 1.49% Total : 11.85%