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Europa League
Ajax
Europa League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
1 - 0
FK Vojvodina

van den Boomen (86')
Petrovic (47'), Akpom (50'), Taylor (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Crnomarkovic (21'), Hato (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ajax and FK Vojvodina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last Game: Ajax 1-0 Olympiacos
Friday, July 19 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

FK Vojvodina

All competitions
Last Game: FK Vojvodina 1-2 APOEL
Thursday, August 3 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Ajax 2-0 FK Vojvodina

 Ajax should not take Vojvodina lightly considering their pre-season form and strong start to the new domestic campaign, but the Dutch giants themselves have shown signs of promise in pre-season and they will be regarded as favourites to come out on top and take an advantage into next week's second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 67.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for FK Vojvodina had a probability of 14.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a FK Vojvodina win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawFK Vojvodina
67.16% (0.0010000000000048 0) 18.19% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 14.64% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Both teams to score 57.07% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.73%35.26% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.71% (0.0019999999999953 0)57.28% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)9.68% (-0.0019000000000009 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.7% (0.00099999999999056 0)32.29% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
FK Vojvodina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)36.81% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)73.6% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 67.16%
    FK Vojvodina 14.64%
    Draw 18.19%
AjaxDrawFK Vojvodina
2-0 @ 9.72%
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 7.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 7.56%
4-0 @ 4.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.41%
3-2 @ 3.78%
4-2 @ 2.2%
5-0 @ 2.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.06%
5-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 67.16%
1-1 @ 8.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.85%
0-0 @ 3.57%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.19%
1-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 3.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 14.64%

How you voted: Ajax vs FK Vojvodina

Ajax
80.8%
Draw
12.3%
FK Vojvodina
6.8%
73
rhs 2.0
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