Eredivisie | Gameweek 34

May 19, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

GelreDome

Vitesse
2 - 2
Ajax

Boutrah (15'), Kozlowski (78')
Oroz (9'), Hadj Moussa (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sutalo (42'), Berghuis (90+3')
Sutalo (61'), Bergwijn (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitesse

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 1-3 Vitesse
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajax

All competitions

Last Game: Ajax 3-0 Almere City
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Although Vitesse have responded strongly to their points deduction, Ajax may relish the chance to play without pressure and scrutiny. With that in mind, we are backing a free-flowing performance from the visitors in a convincing win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 50.01%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.18%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	Ajax
29.08% ( -0)	20.91% ( -0)	50.01% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 69.97% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.52% (

0.01)

28.48% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.66% (

0.01)

49.34% (

-0)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.56% (

20.44% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.1% (

52.9% (

-0)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.95% (

12.05% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.45% (

0.01)

37.55% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Vitesse 29.08%

Ajax 50.01%

Draw 20.91%

Vitesse	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 6.57% 1-0 @ 3.91% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.68% 3-1 @ 3.48% 2-0 @ 3.1% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.46% 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.08%	1-1 @ 8.28% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.95% 3-3 @ 2.59% 0-0 @ 2.46% ( -0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.91%	1-2 @ 8.76% 1-3 @ 6.18% 0-2 @ 5.52% 0-1 @ 5.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.9% 0-3 @ 3.89% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.27% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.59% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.06% 1-5 @ 1.38% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.37% 2-5 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 3.79% Total : 50.01%