Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 20, 2025 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
Ajax1 - 2Union SG
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Heracles
Sunday, February 16 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, February 16 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
We say: Ajax 2-1 Union SG (Ajax to win 4-1 on aggregate)
Union SG must try and take the game to Ajax if they are to have any chance of progressing to the last 16. However, the hosts are enjoying a strong run of form and even though they are missing a few players through injury, they will be regarded as favourites to come out on top in the second leg and advance on aggregate. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%).
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Union SG |
44.83% ( -0.03) | 24.83% ( 0.01) | 30.33% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.41% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.42% ( -0.05) | 46.58% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.15% ( -0.04) | 68.85% ( 0.04) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.17% ( -0.03) | 20.83% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.49% ( -0.05) | 53.51% ( 0.05) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% ( -0.01) | 28.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.42% ( -0.02) | 64.58% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 44.83%
Union SG 30.33%
Draw 24.83%
| Ajax | Draw | Union SG |
| 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.83% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.33% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Union SG
Ajax
88.7%Draw
7.1%Union SG
4.2%168
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2025 5.45pm
