Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 2, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax2 - 1Feyenoord
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ajax 2-1 Galatasaray
Thursday, January 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, January 30 at 8pm in Europa League
We said: Ajax 2-1 Feyenoord
Feyenoord have not been at their best this season, and now return to the domestic league where they are winless in their last three games. In contrast, Ajax are riding a four-match win streak in the Eredivisie and have not lost a home game since November 2023. The visitors should get on the scoresheet, but we feel the hosts will come out on top in this contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.29%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Feyenoord |
54.29% ( 1.31) | 22.11% ( -0.07) | 23.6% ( -1.24) |
| Both teams to score 59.86% ( -1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.64% ( -0.95) | 39.36% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.3% ( -1) | 61.7% ( 1) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.49% ( 0.1) | 14.5% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.49% ( 0.19) | 42.51% ( -0.19) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.02% ( -1.51) | 29.98% ( 1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.9% ( -1.85) | 66.1% ( 1.85) |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 54.29%
Feyenoord 23.6%
Draw 22.1%
| Ajax | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.4)2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.22% Total : 54.29% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.1% | 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.04% Total : 23.6% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Feyenoord
Ajax
64.9%Draw
19.5%Feyenoord
15.6%77
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 6
Ajax
0-4
Feyenoord
Apr 5, 2023 7pm
Mar 19, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 26
Ajax
2-3
Feyenoord
