MX23RW : Monday, March 10 10:57:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 2, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Feyenoord

Ajax
2 - 1
Feyenoord

Brobbey (37'), Taylor (90+4')
Hato (42'), Regeer (83'), Taylor (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Maduro (67')
In-beom (45'), Trauner (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 2-1 Galatasaray
Thursday, January 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lille 6-1 Feyenoord
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Ajax 2-1 Feyenoord

Feyenoord have not been at their best this season, and now return to the domestic league where they are winless in their last three games. In contrast, Ajax are riding a four-match win streak in the Eredivisie and have not lost a home game since November 2023. The visitors should get on the scoresheet, but we feel the hosts will come out on top in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.29%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.

Result
AjaxDrawFeyenoord
54.29% (1.311 1.31) 22.11% (-0.073 -0.07) 23.6% (-1.236 -1.24)
Both teams to score 59.86% (-1.216 -1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.64% (-0.951 -0.95)39.36% (0.951 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.3% (-1.001 -1)61.7% (1.002 1)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.49% (0.097999999999999 0.1)14.5% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.49% (0.186 0.19)42.51% (-0.186 -0.19)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02% (-1.506 -1.51)29.98% (1.505 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (-1.852 -1.85)66.1% (1.851 1.85)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 54.29%
    Feyenoord 23.6%
    Draw 22.1%
AjaxDrawFeyenoord
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.096 0.1)
1-0 @ 8.4% (0.396 0.4)
2-0 @ 8.11% (0.409 0.41)
3-1 @ 6.28% (0.083 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.22% (0.28 0.28)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.03% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.52% (0.144 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.17% (0.023 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 54.29%
1-1 @ 10.11% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-0 @ 4.35% (0.191 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.1%
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-1 @ 5.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.16% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 23.6%

How you voted: Ajax vs Feyenoord

Ajax
64.9%
Draw
19.5%
Feyenoord
15.6%
77
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 4
Feyenoord
0-2
Ajax

Trauner (32'), Bueno (42'), Maduro (83'), Osman (90+5')
Taylor (6'), Hato (25')
Baas (34'), Sutalo (45+1')
Apr 7, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 29
Feyenoord
6-0
Ajax
Paixao (34', 66'), Minteh (35', 56'), Hancko (45+2'), Maduro (62')

Kaplan (69'), Tahirovic (76')
Sep 27, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 6
Ajax
0-4
Feyenoord

Taylor (41'), Vos (66'), Brobbey (80')
Gimenez (9', 18', 59'), Paixao (37')
Wellenreuther (42'), Gimenez (45+7')
Apr 5, 2023 7pm
Semi-Finals
Feyenoord
1-2
Ajax
Gimenez (45+2')
Tadic (14'), Klaassen (51')
Mar 19, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 26
Ajax
2-3
Feyenoord
Alvarez (17'), Tadic (37')
Gimenez (5'), Szymanski (52'), Geertruida (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


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