MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:14:06| >> :600:381152:381152:
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Europa League
Porto
Europa League | League Stage
Oct 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Hoffenheim logo

Porto
2 - 0
Hoffenheim

Djalo (45+2'), Omorodion (75')
Perez (54'), Varela (77'), Gonzalez (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nsoki (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Porto and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Sintrense 0-3 Porto
Sunday, October 20 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Porto 2-0 Hoffenheim

 Despite Porto having struggled recently at home in the Europa League, their overall form at Estadio Do Dragao is outstanding, and they should come into Thursday's game as favourites. Additionally, considering Hoffenheim have numerous injury issues and have been poor away from home for some time, it would not be surprising if they lost. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 71.04%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 3-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
PortoDrawHoffenheim
71.04% (-0.66 -0.66) 15.97% (0.135 0.14) 13% (0.524 0.52)
Both teams to score 61.29% (1.224 1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.05% (0.738 0.74)27.95% (-0.74 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.32% (0.916 0.92)48.68% (-0.916 -0.92)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93% (0.048999999999992 0.05)7% (-0.05 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.39% (0.134 0.13)25.61% (-0.135 -0.14)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.9% (1.28 1.28)34.1% (-1.281 -1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.21% (1.353 1.35)70.79% (-1.354 -1.35)
Score Analysis
    Porto 71.04%
    Hoffenheim 13%
    Draw 15.97%
PortoDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.332 -0.33)
3-1 @ 8.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.48% (-0.274 -0.27)
1-0 @ 6.35% (-0.268 -0.27)
4-1 @ 5.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.97% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-2 @ 4.33% (0.144 0.14)
4-2 @ 2.88% (0.103 0.1)
5-1 @ 2.85% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.65% (-0.082 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.53% (0.059 0.06)
6-1 @ 1.26% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.17% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.03% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 71.04%
1-1 @ 6.83% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 2.39% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 15.97%
1-2 @ 3.67% (0.103 0.1)
0-1 @ 2.57% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.112 0.11)
0-2 @ 1.38% (0.035 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.32% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 13%

How you voted: Porto vs Hoffenheim

Porto
87.4%
Draw
6.0%
Hoffenheim
6.6%
151
rhs 2.0
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