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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
Wolfsburg

Hoffenheim
0 - 1
Wolfsburg


Moerstedt (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
El Amine Amoura (29')
Tomas (8'), Vavro (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-3 Dortmund
Sunday, December 22 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-2 Wolfsburg

 Wolfsburg's recent defensive record should give Hoffenheim confidence that they can at least prevent the visitors from keeping a clean sheet. However, it is hard to overlook the hosts' poor form under Ilzer, and considering Hasenhuttl's side have been difficult to beat away from home, it would not be surprising if Wolfsburg left with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawWolfsburg
46.56% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42) 23.21% (-0.041 -0.04) 30.23% (0.469 0.47)
Both teams to score 62.07% (0.462 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.88% (0.478 0.48)39.12% (-0.474 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.55% (0.501 0.5)61.45% (-0.496 -0.5)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.86% (0.025999999999996 0.03)17.14% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.63% (0.039000000000001 0.04)47.37% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9% (0.53699999999999 0.54)25.1% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.21% (0.735 0.73)59.79% (-0.73 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 46.56%
    Wolfsburg 30.23%
    Draw 23.2%
HoffenheimDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.59% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.69% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.76% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 46.56%
1-1 @ 10.48% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.063 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.2%
1-2 @ 7.25% (0.066 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.11% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.34% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.073 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.045 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 30.23%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg

Hoffenheim
23.3%
Draw
16.3%
Wolfsburg
60.5%
43
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2024 5pm
Round of 16
Wolfsburg
3-0
Hoffenheim
Vavro (63'), Wind (67'), Gerhardt (85')
Arnold (14'), Dardai (54')

Kramaric (66'), Baumann (85')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Wolfsburg
2-2
Hoffenheim
Majer (58', 70' pen.)
Jenz (90+2'), Majer (90+6')
Beier (6'), Promel (66')
Kabak (57'), Nsoki (69'), Brooks (90+2')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Hoffenheim
3-1
Wolfsburg
Brooks (45+2'), Beier (60'), Skov (74')
Weghorst (10'), Bebou (25')
Tomas (36')
Maehle (43'), Svanberg (75')
> Preview
May 13, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Wolfsburg
2-1
Hoffenheim
Kaminski (15'), Waldschmidt (75')
Baku (31'), Guilavogui (49')
Guilavogui (90+3' og.)
Bebou (51'), Akpoguma (88')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Hoffenheim
1-2
Wolfsburg
Baumgartner (42')
Kabak (45+4' og.), Baku (56')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310
> Bundesliga Full Table


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