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Basel
Europa League | Round of 16
Aug 6, 2020 at 8pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Eintracht Frankfurt logo

Basel
1 - 0
Frankfurt

Frei (88')
Comert (25')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kohr (33'), Chandler (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League last-16 second leg between Basel and Eintracht Frankfurt, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 53.33%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.6%) and 3-1 (6.5%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
BaselDrawEintracht Frankfurt
53.33%21.03%25.63%
Both teams to score 66.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.99%32.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.42%53.57%
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.7%12.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.92%38.08%
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55%24.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.11%58.88%
Score Analysis
    Basel 53.33%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 25.63%
    Draw 21.03%
BaselDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.3%
2-0 @ 6.6%
3-1 @ 6.5%
1-0 @ 6.3%
3-0 @ 4.61%
3-2 @ 4.58%
4-1 @ 3.4%
4-0 @ 2.42%
4-2 @ 2.4%
5-1 @ 1.43%
4-3 @ 1.13%
5-0 @ 1.01%
5-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 53.33%
1-1 @ 8.88%
2-2 @ 6.55%
0-0 @ 3.01%
3-3 @ 2.15%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.03%
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-1 @ 4.24%
2-3 @ 3.08%
0-2 @ 2.98%
1-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 1.4%
2-4 @ 1.08%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 25.63%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2020 5.55pm
Round of 16
Frankfurt
0-3
Basel

Sow (23')
Campo (27'), Bua (73'), Frei (85')
Campo (11'), Comert (53'), Alderete (76')
rhs 2.0
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