Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 66.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Luzern had a probability of 14.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Luzern win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
