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Europa League
Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 20, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Arena Nationala
PAOK

FCSB
2 - 0
PAOK

Cisotti (30'), Miculescu (81')
Cretu (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zivkovic (44'), Castro (49'), Michailidis (54'), Despodov (64'), Kotarski (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between FCSB and PAOK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FCSB

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: SCM Gloria Buzau 0-2 FCSB
Sunday, February 16 at 6.45pm in Romanian SuperLiga

PAOK

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: PAOK 7-0 Lamia
Sunday, February 16 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

We said: FCSB 1-3 PAOK

 PAOK were favourites ahead of the tie, and do have the stronger squad on paper, so despite their poor record against Romanian clubs, they will fancy their chances of progressing. Nobody knows what would have happened in Greece if the numbers on each side remained equal, but they will be at kick off here, and FCSB could struggle with the attacking talent in the PAOK side, in a tie that should be close, and may well go beyond the 180 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for FCSB had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest FCSB win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
FCSBDrawPAOK
34.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26% (0.0010000000000012 0) 39.9%
Both teams to score 53.93% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.57% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)50.43% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.63% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)72.36% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
FCSB Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.8% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)28.2% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.1% (-0.012 -0.01)63.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.11% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)24.88% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.5% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)59.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    FCSB 34.1%
    PAOK 39.9%
    Draw 26%
FCSBDrawPAOK
1-0 @ 8.88% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.62%
3-1 @ 3.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 34.1%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 9.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 8.59%
0-2 @ 6.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 39.9%

How you voted: FCSB vs PAOK

FCSB
43.7%
Draw
15.9%
PAOK
40.4%
151
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2025 8pm
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1-2
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> Preview
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M (3'), Sastre (45+2')
Birligea (45+8')
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> Preview
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