Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Champions League
for
We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 Lyon
With two lengthy unbeaten spells on the line this weekend, we are expecting a hard-fought affair between pacesetters PSG and Lyon in the French capital. Les Parisiens found their scoring boots at Salzburg on Tuesday, and with an extra two days of rest under their belts, the hosts should have enough in the tank for victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 1-0 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Lyon win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
60.36% ( -0.2) | 20.06% ( 0.13) | 19.59% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 61.18% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.07% ( -0.52) | 34.93% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.09% ( -0.59) | 56.91% ( 0.59) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.71% ( -0.21) | 11.29% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.08% ( -0.46) | 35.93% ( 0.46) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% ( -0.25) | 31.04% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.65% ( -0.29) | 67.35% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.78% Total : 60.36% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.06% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 19.59% |
