Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 1-0 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Lyon win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
60.36% ( -0.2) | 20.06% ( 0.13) | 19.59% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 61.18% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.07% ( -0.52) | 34.93% ( 0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.09% ( -0.59) | 56.91% ( 0.59) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.71% ( -0.21) | 11.29% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.08% ( -0.46) | 35.93% ( 0.46) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.97% ( -0.25) | 31.04% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.65% ( -0.29) | 67.35% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.78% Total : 60.36% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.06% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 19.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Auxerre | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Reims | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |