Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Jan 11, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Brest2 - 1Lyon
We said: Brest 1-3 Lyon
Fatigue may set in very soon for a Stade Brestois side, who are not used to playing so many matches in such a short time span. Lyon, meanwhile, have been well-organised and decisive away from home throughout the campaign, and we expect they will make their opportunities count on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Brest win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Lyon |
31.56% ( -0.05) | 24.64% ( 0) | 43.8% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.68% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.8% ( -0.05) | 45.2% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.46% ( -0.05) | 67.54% ( 0.05) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.75% ( -0.06) | 27.25% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.32% ( -0.07) | 62.68% ( 0.08) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.28% ( 0) | 20.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.66% ( 0) | 53.34% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Brest 31.56%
Lyon 43.8%
Draw 24.64%
| Brest | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 31.56% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.77% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.8% |
How you voted: Brest vs Lyon
Brest
10.3%Draw
25.6%Lyon
64.1%39
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Lyon
4-3
Brest
Tolisso (18'), Lacazette (70'), Tagliafico (79'), Maitland-Niles (90+16' pen.)
Benrahma (57'), Tagliafico (59'), O'Brien (87'), Matic (90+10')
Tagliafico (86')
Benrahma (57'), Tagliafico (59'), O'Brien (87'), Matic (90+10')
Tagliafico (86')
Mounie (59'), Del Castillo (64', 67')
Brassier (17'), Lees-Melou (45+2'), Locko (87'), Bizot (90+11')
Lees-Melou (86')
Brassier (17'), Lees-Melou (45+2'), Locko (87'), Bizot (90+11')
Lees-Melou (86')
Sep 23, 2023 8pm
Feb 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Lyon
0-0
Brest
Dec 28, 2022 8pm
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Brest
2-1
Lyon
