Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Feignies-Aulnoye 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, December 21 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Saturday, December 21 at 5pm in Coupe de France
We said: Lyon 3-0 Montpellier HSC
Nothing is certain in football, but Lyon have been in superb form and Montpellier hit rock bottom in their last outing, leaving the hosts as huge favourites for this one. Montpellier have lost five of their last six clashes with Lyon, and have lost every game away from home so far this season, so there is little down for Gasset's side here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
66.13% ( 1.7) | 18.7% ( -0.53) | 15.17% ( -1.18) |
| Both teams to score 56.58% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.46% ( 0.13) | 36.53% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.31% ( 0.14) | 58.68% ( -0.14) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.71% ( 0.46) | 10.28% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.32% ( 1.04) | 33.68% ( -1.04) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.07% ( -1.37) | 36.93% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.28% ( -1.39) | 73.72% ( 1.39) |
| Score Analysis |
Lyon 66.13%
Montpellier HSC 15.17%
Draw 18.7%
| Lyon | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 2-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.38)3-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.3)4-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.17)5-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.1)5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.95% Total : 66.13% | 1-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.21)0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.7% | 1-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.18% Total : 15.17% |
How you voted: Lyon vs Montpellier
Lyon
86.3%Draw
9.8%Montpellier HSC
3.9%51
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2024 4.05pm
Gameweek 21
Montpellier
1-2
Lyon
Aug 19, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 2
Lyon
1-4
Montpellier
May 7, 2023 4.05pm
Oct 22, 2022 4pm
