Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadion
PSV2 - 2AZ
de Jong (68', 85' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSV 3-0 Feyenoord
Sunday, December 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, December 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
59
Last Game: AZ 1-0 FC Twente
Saturday, December 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, December 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
31
We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 AZ Alkmaar
While AZ ended 2024 with an excellent run of results, it is difficult to back against PSV on their home patch, as they have won every league match at Philips Stadion this season and are unbeaten in the top flight at the venue since November 2022. We feel the hosts will add to that record with another victory in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 12.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 3-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
70.75% ( -0.22) | 16.6% ( 0.11) | 12.65% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.35% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.77% ( -0.21) | 32.23% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.17% ( -0.25) | 53.83% ( 0.26) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.9% ( -0.09) | 8.09% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.56% ( -0.25) | 28.44% ( 0.25) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.4% ( 0.03) | 37.59% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.63% ( 0.03) | 74.37% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven 70.75%
AZ Alkmaar 12.65%
Draw 16.6%
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.47% Total : 70.75% | 1-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.6% | 1-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 12.65% |
How you voted: PSV vs AZ
PSV Eindhoven
97.4%Draw
2.6%AZ Alkmaar
0.0%39
