MX23RW : Wednesday, April 2 20:22:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

PSV
2 - 2
AZ

de Jong (68', 85' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lahdo (41'), Meerdink (74')
Moller Wolfe (27'), Clasie (76'), (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 3-0 Feyenoord
Sunday, December 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-0 FC Twente
Saturday, December 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 AZ Alkmaar

While AZ ended 2024 with an excellent run of results, it is difficult to back against PSV on their home patch, as they have won every league match at Philips Stadion this season and are unbeaten in the top flight at the venue since November 2022. We feel the hosts will add to that record with another victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 12.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 3-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAZ Alkmaar
70.75% (-0.215 -0.22) 16.6% (0.106 0.11) 12.65% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 57.35% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.77% (-0.209 -0.21)32.23% (0.218 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.17% (-0.246 -0.25)53.83% (0.256 0.26)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.9% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)8.09% (0.1019 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.56% (-0.245 -0.25)28.44% (0.254 0.25)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.4% (0.031000000000006 0.03)37.59% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)74.37% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 70.75%
    AZ Alkmaar 12.65%
    Draw 16.6%
PSV EindhovenDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.06% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.88% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 5.07% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.96% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.49% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.07% (-0.019 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 70.75%
1-1 @ 7.48% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.04% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 16.6%
1-2 @ 3.66% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.98% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.46% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.19% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 12.65%

How you voted: PSV vs AZ

PSV Eindhoven
97.4%
Draw
2.6%
AZ Alkmaar
0.0%
39
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 9
AZ
1-2
PSV
Kasius (90')
Moller Wolfe (10')
De Jong (15'), Lang (22')
Apr 6, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 29
PSV
5-1
AZ
Bakayoko (9'), De Jong (23', 53'), Veerman (80'), Uneken (90+1')
Teze (25'), Boscagli (45')
Pavlidis (58')
Belic (13'), Mijnans (73')
Dec 17, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 16
AZ
0-4
PSV

van Bommel (45+1'), Goudmijn (77')
De Jong (9' pen., 57'), Saibari (11'), Dest (16')
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
AZ
1-2
PSV
Karlsson (84' pen.)
Karlsson (35'), Clasie (57')
Simons (65', 90+8')
El Ghazi (35'), Benitez (79'), Veerman (90+3'), Simons (90+8')
El Ghazi (90+2')
Nov 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 14
PSV
0-1
AZ
Pavlidis (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax27214257203767
2PSV EindhovenPSV27184578324658
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2715754839952
4Feyenoord26148457312650
5AZ AlkmaarAZ27137747311646
6FC Twente27137753391446
7Go Ahead Eagles2713594943644
8Groningen2688102534-932
9Fortuna SittardSittard2795133246-1432
10Heracles27710103548-1331
11Heerenveen2787123248-1631
12NECNijmegen2786134040030
13NAC BredaNAC Breda2786132945-1630
14PEC Zwolle2778123241-929
15Sparta RotterdamSparta27610112835-728
16Willem II2766152844-1624
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2746173456-2218
18Almere CityAlmere City2746171850-3218


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