MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 16:48:43| >> :60:507:507:
Athletic Bilbao logo
Europa League | League Stage
Oct 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
AZ Alkmaar

Athletic Bilbao
vs.
AZ

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Athletic Bilbao and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Sevilla
Sunday, September 29 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: AZ 1-2 Utrecht
Sunday, September 29 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 30.9% and a draw has a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win is 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.58%).

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawAZ Alkmaar
30.9% (0.221 0.22) 26.48% (0.357 0.36) 42.62% (-0.576 -0.58)
Both teams to score 51.37% (-1.011 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.75% (-1.352 -1.35)53.25% (1.354 1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.19% (-1.157 -1.16)74.81% (1.158 1.16)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.27% (-0.53400000000001 -0.53)31.73% (0.534 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.84% (-0.62 -0.62)68.16% (0.62 0.62)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25% (-0.88500000000001 -0.89)24.75% (0.886 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.69% (-1.252 -1.25)59.31% (1.254 1.25)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 30.9%
    AZ Alkmaar 42.62%
    Draw 26.47%
Athletic BilbaoDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 9.01% (0.343 0.34)
2-1 @ 7.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.17% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.98% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.9%
1-1 @ 12.58% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.409 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 10.96% (0.3 0.3)
1-2 @ 8.79% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-2 @ 7.66% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.09% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-3 @ 3.56% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.095 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 42.62%

Who will win Thursday's Europa League clash between Athletic Bilbao and AZ?

Athletic Bilbao
Draw
AZ Alkmaar
Athletic Bilbao
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
AZ Alkmaar
0.0%
3
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2015 8.05pm
Group Stage
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
AZ
Sola (43'), Jose (47' pen.)
Merino (77')
Van Overeem (26'), Janssen (88')
Haye (55'), Gouweleeuw (63')
Oct 1, 2015 6pm
Group Stage
AZ
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Henriksen (55'), Boveda (65' og.)
Johansson (47'), Coutinho (90')
Aduriz (75')
Gurpegi (50'), Iturraspe (53'), Garcia (71')
rhs 2.0
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