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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for AZ Alkmaar has a probability of 35.72% and a draw has a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win is 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.2%).
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
39.99% ( 1.44) | 24.29% ( -0.19) | 35.72% ( -1.25) |
Both teams to score 60.23% ( 0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.59% ( 0.8) | 42.4% ( -0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.19% ( 0.79) | 64.81% ( -0.79) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.7% ( 1.06) | 21.29% ( -1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.76% ( 1.61) | 54.23% ( -1.61) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.53% ( -0.3) | 23.47% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.51% ( -0.44) | 57.49% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.66% Total : 39.99% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.17% Total : 35.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |