MX23RW : Monday, January 13 05:46:32| >> :120:21137:21137:
AZ Alkmaar
KNVB Beker | Round of 16
Jan 14, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
Ajax

AZ
vs.
Ajax

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's KNVB Beker clash between AZ Alkmaar and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
KNVB Beker
Last Game: PSV 2-2 AZ
Saturday, January 11 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Ajax

All competitions
KNVB Beker
Last Game: Ajax 2-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, January 11 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We say: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Ajax

 Given that both teams are in strong form, Tuesday's clash is likely to be a closely fought contest, with neither team keeping a clean sheet. However, considering that AZ are at home and that the visitors do not boast the best record on the road, as well as that they have already beaten Ajax, the hosts should be favourites to advance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for Ajax has a probability of 28.37% and a draw has a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Ajax win is 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.44%).

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawAjax
48.62% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03) 23.01% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 28.37% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 61.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.64% (-0.061 -0.06)39.36% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.3% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)61.7% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)16.46% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.85% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)46.15% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)26.43% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.4% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)61.6% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 48.62%
    Ajax 28.37%
    Draw 23.01%
AZ AlkmaarDrawAjax
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.85% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.08% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.26% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-2 @ 3.77% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 48.62%
1-1 @ 10.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.35% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.01%
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 5.79% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 28.37%

Who will win Tuesday's KNVB Beker clash between AZ and Ajax?

AZ Alkmaar
Draw
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
100%
Draw
0.0%
Ajax
0.0%
1
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 15
AZ
2-1
Ajax
Parrott (65'), Lahdo (76')
Goes (46')
Godts (81')
Weghorst (36'), Sutalo (45+2')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 23
AZ
2-0
Ajax
Van Bommel (7', 67')
Bazoer (55'), Goes (79')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 8
Ajax
1-2
AZ
Van den Boomen (73')
Bergwijn (50'), Vos (65')
Pavlidis (45'), De Wit (57')
Martins Indi (87')
> Preview
May 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Ajax
0-0
AZ
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 7
AZ
2-1
Ajax
De Wit (40'), Odgaard (45+5')
Kudus (12')
> Preview
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