Hoffenheim

2 - 0

Red Star

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 12.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.5%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Red Star Belgrade win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.