Ararat-Armenia

1 - 2

Red Star

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Ararat-Armenia had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.29%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for an Ararat-Armenia win it was 1-0 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.