MX23RW : Monday, March 10 14:36:11| >> :120:24064:24064:
Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 9, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Pepsi Arena, Warsaw

Legia
0 - 1
Spartak Moscow


Martins (24'), Pesqueira (26'), Slisz (44'), Kastrati (61'), Wieteska (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bakaev (17')
Promes (34'), Dzhikiya (61'), Melkadze (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Legia Warsaw and Spartak Moscow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Legia Warsaw 1-2 Spartak Moscow

With Legia currently in disarray, this is as good a time as any for Spartak to visit Stadion Wojska Polskiego, and even some men missing in attack should not deter them from leaving with maximum points. The result in Naples may still determine their destiny, but the Russian side can guarantee some continental football in the spring, while their Polish counterparts bow out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.43%) and 1-0 (5.08%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawSpartak Moscow
44.01%21.65%34.35%
Both teams to score 70.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.48%29.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.39%50.61%
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.66%14.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.8%42.2%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.76%18.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.72%49.29%
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 44.01%
    Spartak Moscow 34.35%
    Draw 21.65%
Legia WarsawDrawSpartak Moscow
2-1 @ 8.39%
3-1 @ 5.43%
1-0 @ 5.08%
2-0 @ 4.93%
3-2 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 3.19%
4-1 @ 2.64%
4-2 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 1.55%
4-3 @ 1.27%
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 44.01%
1-1 @ 8.65%
2-2 @ 7.14%
3-3 @ 2.62%
0-0 @ 2.62%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 21.65%
1-2 @ 7.36%
0-1 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 4.17%
2-3 @ 4.05%
0-2 @ 3.79%
0-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.77%
2-4 @ 1.72%
3-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 34.35%

How you voted: Legia vs Spartak Moscow

Legia Warsaw
35.0%
Draw
19.3%
Spartak Moscow
45.7%
140
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2021 3.30pm
Group Stage
Spartak Moscow
0-1
Legia

Gigot (48'), Umyarov (53'), Lomovitski (90'), Bakaev (90+6')
Kastrati (90+1')
Wieteska (50'), Johansson (55'), Jedrzejczyk (70'), Pesqueira (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!