Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result
Spartak Moscow	Draw	Legia Warsaw
31.94%	24.85%	43.21%

Both teams to score 57.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.03%

45.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.72%

68.28%

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.61%

27.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.15%

62.85%

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.69%

21.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.74%

54.26%

Score Analysis

Spartak Moscow 31.94%

Legia Warsaw 43.21%

Draw 24.84%

Spartak Moscow	Draw	Legia Warsaw
2-1 @ 7.57% 1-0 @ 7.56% 2-0 @ 4.9% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.94%	1-1 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.84%	1-2 @ 9.03% 0-1 @ 9.02% 0-2 @ 6.97% 1-3 @ 4.65% 0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 1.8% 0-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.57% Total : 43.21%