Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.