MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 15:53:40| >> :120:9223:9223:
Ludogorets
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 30, 2021 at 8pm UK
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)
Red Star Belgrade

Ludogorets
0 - 1
Red Star


Cicinho (52')
Cicinho (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kanga (64')
Diony (13'), Ivanic (17'), Kanga (45+3'), Pavkov (66'), Stanic (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and Red Star Belgrade, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Red Star Belgrade in this match.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawRed Star Belgrade
29.45%25.31%45.23%
Both teams to score 54.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.93%49.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.85%71.15%
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.38%30.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.14%66.86%
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31%21.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.16%54.84%
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 29.45%
    Red Star Belgrade 45.22%
    Draw 25.31%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawRed Star Belgrade
1-0 @ 7.86%
2-1 @ 7.11%
2-0 @ 4.65%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 2.14%
3-0 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 29.45%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.64%
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 10.14%
1-2 @ 9.18%
0-2 @ 7.76%
1-3 @ 4.68%
0-3 @ 3.95%
2-3 @ 2.77%
1-4 @ 1.79%
0-4 @ 1.51%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 45.22%

How you voted: Ludogorets vs Red Star

Ludogorets Razgrad
37.4%
Draw
28.6%
Red Star Belgrade
34.1%
91
rhs 2.0
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