Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Sep 30, 2021 at 8pm UK

Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Ludogorets
0 - 1
Red Star

Cicinho (52')
Cicinho (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kanga (64')
Diony (13'), Ivanic (17'), Kanga (45+3'), Pavkov (66'), Stanic (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and Red Star Belgrade, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Red Star Belgrade in this match.

Result
Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
29.45%	25.31%	45.23%

Both teams to score 54.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.93%

49.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.85%

71.15%

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.38%

30.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.14%

66.86%

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.31%

21.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.16%

54.84%

Score Analysis

Ludogorets Razgrad 29.45%

Red Star Belgrade 45.22%

Draw 25.31%

Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
1-0 @ 7.86% 2-1 @ 7.11% 2-0 @ 4.65% 3-1 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 2.14% 3-0 @ 1.84% Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.45%	1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.64% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 10.14% 1-2 @ 9.18% 0-2 @ 7.76% 1-3 @ 4.68% 0-3 @ 3.95% 2-3 @ 2.77% 1-4 @ 1.79% 0-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.4% Total : 45.22%