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Europa League
Malmo
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 6pm UK
Eleda Stadion (Malmö)
F91 Dudelange

Malmo
3 - 0
Dudelange

Kiese Thelin (54'), Toivonen (81'), Birmancevic (85')
Kiese Thelin (59'), Rakip (80'), Birmancevic (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Morren (21'), Kirch (29'), Fox (49')
Morren (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Malmo and F91 Dudelange, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

Last Six:
Last Game: Malmo 0-2 Zalgiris
Wednesday, July 27 at 6pm in Champions League

F91 Dudelange

Last Six:
    Last Game: Dudelange 1-4 Pyunik
    Tuesday, July 26 at 6.30pm in Champions League

    We said: Malmo 2-1 F91 Dudelange

     While it cannot be ruled out that Malmo's woes could continue against another unassuming opponent this week, a squad with plenty of European experience should take at least a one-goal lead to Luxembourg. Dudelange can be vulnerable defensively, as evidenced by their second-half collapse last time out, and are likely to concede more than once. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for F91 Dudelange had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest F91 Dudelange win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

    Result
    MalmoDrawF91 Dudelange
    51.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 22.91% (0.004999999999999 0) 25.19% (0.0010000000000012 0)
    Both teams to score 58.89% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    58.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)41.47% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    36.14% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)63.86% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
    Malmo Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    83.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)16.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    54.59% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)45.42% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
    F91 Dudelange Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    70.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)29.85% (0.012 0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    34.07% (-0.012 -0.01)65.94% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
    Score Analysis
        Malmo 51.91%
        F91 Dudelange 25.19%
        Draw 22.9%
    MalmoDrawF91 Dudelange
    2-1 @ 9.69%
    1-0 @ 8.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
    2-0 @ 8.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
    3-0 @ 4.89%
    3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
    4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
    4-0 @ 2.24%
    4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
    5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
    Other @ 3.5%
    Total : 51.91%
    		1-1 @ 10.59%
    2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
    0-0 @ 4.79% (0.0040000000000004 0)
    3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
    Other @ 0.22%
    Total : 22.9%
    		1-2 @ 6.41%
    0-1 @ 5.79% (0.0040000000000004 0)
    0-2 @ 3.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
    2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    0-3 @ 1.41%
    Other @ 3.13%
    Total : 25.19%

    How you voted: Malmo vs Dudelange

    Malmo
    79.3%
    Draw
    12.2%
    F91 Dudelange
    8.5%
    82
    rhs 2.0
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