Europa League

Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 4, 2022 at 6pm UK

Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Malmo
3 - 0
Dudelange

(Malmo win 5-2 on aggregate)

Kiese Thelin (54'), Toivonen (81'), Birmancevic (85')
Kiese Thelin (59'), Rakip (80'), Birmancevic (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Morren (21'), Kirch (29'), Fox (49')
Morren (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Malmo and F91 Dudelange, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

F91 Dudelange

Last Six:

Last Game: Dudelange 1-4 Pyunik
Tuesday, July 26 at 6.30pm in Champions League

Current League Standings

PTS

Top scorers

We said: Malmo 2-1 F91 Dudelange

While it cannot be ruled out that Malmo's woes could continue against another unassuming opponent this week, a squad with plenty of European experience should take at least a one-goal lead to Luxembourg. Dudelange can be vulnerable defensively, as evidenced by their second-half collapse last time out, and are likely to concede more than once. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for F91 Dudelange had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest F91 Dudelange win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
Malmo	Draw	F91 Dudelange
51.91% ( -0)	22.91% ( 0)	25.19% ( 0)

Both teams to score 58.89% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.54% (

-0.02)

41.47% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.14% (

-0.02)

63.86% (

0.02)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.95% (

-0.01)

16.05% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.59% (

-0.01)

45.42% (

0.02)

F91 Dudelange Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.16% (

-0.01)

29.85% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.07% (

-0.01)

65.94% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Malmo 51.91%

F91 Dudelange 25.19%

Draw 22.9%

Malmo	Draw	F91 Dudelange
2-1 @ 9.69% 1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.89% 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 51.91%	1-1 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.9%	1-2 @ 6.41% 0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.5% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.13% Total : 25.19%