We said: F91 Dudelange 2-0 FC Pyunik
Pyunik have given themselves a mountain to climb in the second leg, and we are finding it very difficult to back them to turn the contest around. Dudelange have been impressive in the competition this season, and we are expecting them to win the second leg comfortably to progress to the third qualifying round.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a F91 Dudelange win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for FC Pyunik had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a F91 Dudelange win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest FC Pyunik win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.