MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:39:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Mainz logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 30, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
OPEL ARENA
Leverkusen logo

Mainz
0 - 3
B. Leverkusen


Fernandes (58'), Gruda (75'), Richter (90+2'), Barreiro (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
van den Berg (18' og.), Grimaldo (59'), Hofmann (65')
Xhaka (4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Mainz
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-1 Heidenheim
Sunday, September 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 1-4 Bayer Leverkusen

While winless Mainz have conceded 14 goals in five Bundesliga matches this season, unbeaten Leverkusen have scored 17 goals in five league outings, so we expect Alonso's men to heap more misery on the 05ers by notching another high-scoring victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawBayer Leverkusen
29.75%25.4%44.85%
Both teams to score 54.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.71% (0.0010000000000048 0)49.28% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.34% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.26% (0.00099999999999767 0)66.73% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04%21.95% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.76%55.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 29.75%
    Bayer Leverkusen 44.84%
    Draw 25.39%
Mainz 05DrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 7.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 4.72%
3-1 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 2.15%
3-0 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 29.75%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 6.7%
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 10.15%
1-2 @ 9.14%
0-2 @ 7.7%
1-3 @ 4.62%
0-3 @ 3.89%
2-3 @ 2.74%
1-4 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.48%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.84%

How you voted: Mainz vs B. Leverkusen

Mainz 05
6.8%
Draw
8.5%
Bayer Leverkusen
84.7%
59
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 21
B. Leverkusen
2-3
Mainz
Amiri (32'), Schick (58')
Caci (26'), Barreiro (45+4'), Ingvartsen (82' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Mainz
0-3
B. Leverkusen

Burgzorg (70')
Palacios (29'), Frimpong (39', 41')
Hincapie (3'), Andrich (45'), Frimpong (60'), Bakker (76')
Hincapie (77'), Bakker (90+4')
Feb 18, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 23
Mainz
3-2
B. Leverkusen
Caricol (57'), Boetius (84'), Ingvartsen (88')
Caricol (66'), Ingvartsen (90+5')
Schick (35'), Alario (74')
Adli (31'), Demirbay (56')
Sep 25, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
B. Leverkusen
1-0
Mainz
Wirtz (62')
Tah (11'), Diaby (44'), Bakker (83'), Alario (90+3')

Lucoqui (44'), Stach (69'), Jae-sung (86')
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Mainz
Alario (14'), Schick (84')
Tah (3'), Wendell (13'), Tapsoba (67'), Schick (68'), Fosu-Mensah (82')
Glatzel (89'), Stoger (90+2')
Stoger (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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