MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 09:58:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 30, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
OPEL ARENA
Leverkusen logo

Mainz
0 - 3
B. Leverkusen


Fernandes (58'), Gruda (75'), Richter (90+2'), Barreiro (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
van den Berg (18' og.), Grimaldo (59'), Hofmann (65')
Xhaka (4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Mainz
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-1 Heidenheim
Sunday, September 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 1-4 Bayer Leverkusen

While winless Mainz have conceded 14 goals in five Bundesliga matches this season, unbeaten Leverkusen have scored 17 goals in five league outings, so we expect Alonso's men to heap more misery on the 05ers by notching another high-scoring victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawBayer Leverkusen
29.75%25.4%44.85%
Both teams to score 54.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.71% (0.0010000000000048 0)49.28% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.34% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.26% (0.00099999999999767 0)66.73% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04%21.95% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.76%55.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 29.75%
    Bayer Leverkusen 44.84%
    Draw 25.39%
Mainz 05DrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 7.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 4.72%
3-1 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 2.15%
3-0 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 29.75%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 6.7%
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 10.15%
1-2 @ 9.14%
0-2 @ 7.7%
1-3 @ 4.62%
0-3 @ 3.89%
2-3 @ 2.74%
1-4 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.48%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.84%

How you voted: Mainz vs B. Leverkusen

Mainz 05
6.8%
Draw
8.5%
Bayer Leverkusen
84.7%
59
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 21
B. Leverkusen
2-3
Mainz
Amiri (32'), Schick (58')
Caci (26'), Barreiro (45+4'), Ingvartsen (82' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Mainz
0-3
B. Leverkusen

Burgzorg (70')
Palacios (29'), Frimpong (39', 41')
Hincapie (3'), Andrich (45'), Frimpong (60'), Bakker (76')
Hincapie (77'), Bakker (90+4')
Feb 18, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 23
Mainz
3-2
B. Leverkusen
Caricol (57'), Boetius (84'), Ingvartsen (88')
Caricol (66'), Ingvartsen (90+5')
Schick (35'), Alario (74')
Adli (31'), Demirbay (56')
Sep 25, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
B. Leverkusen
1-0
Mainz
Wirtz (62')
Tah (11'), Diaby (44'), Bakker (83'), Alario (90+3')

Lucoqui (44'), Stach (69'), Jae-sung (86')
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Mainz
Alario (14'), Schick (84')
Tah (3'), Wendell (13'), Tapsoba (67'), Schick (68'), Fosu-Mensah (82')
Glatzel (89'), Stoger (90+2')
Stoger (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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