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Europa League
Rennes
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stade de la Route de Lorient
Panathinaikos

Rennes
3 - 1
Panathinaikos

Rieder (9'), Salah (65'), Blas (70' pen.)
Bourigeaud (33'), Wooh (55'), Santamaria (81')
Belocian (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ioannidis (34' pen.)
Vagiannidis (44'), Perez (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Rennes and Panathinaikos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Nice 2-0 Rennes
Sunday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Panathinaikos

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Lamia 1-2 Panathinaikos
Saturday, November 4 at 3.30pm in Greek Superleague

We said: Rennes 2-1 Panathinaikos

 Rennes have struggled to live up to the standards they set last season, but Genesio's men are still in a brilliant position to qualify into the knockout stages of the Europa League. Panathinaikos have enjoyed an impressive run of results domestically, but we feel the Greek Super League leaders will be slightly outclassed at Roazhon Park on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
RennesDrawPanathinaikos
45.44% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 25.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 29.24% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.19% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.8% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)49.2% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.74% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)71.26% (0.071999999999989 0.07)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)21.65% (0.075999999999997 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.23% (-0.117 -0.12)54.77% (0.115 0.12)
Panathinaikos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.16% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)30.84% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.88% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)67.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 45.44%
    Panathinaikos 29.24%
    Draw 25.31%
RennesDrawPanathinaikos
1-0 @ 10.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 45.44%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 7.85% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 29.24%

How you voted: Rennes vs Panathinaikos

Rennes
65.6%
Draw
16.4%
Panathinaikos
18.0%
61
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Panathinaikos
1-2
Rennes
Ioannidis (61' pen.)
Bernard (25'), Arao (45')
Gouiri (7'), Kalimuendo (49')
Belocian (21'), Truffert (45+4'), Kalimuendo (80'), Theate (90+3'), Blas (90+5')
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