Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Nov 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Stade de la Route de Lorient

Rennes
3 - 1
Panathinaikos

Rieder (9'), Salah (65'), Blas (70' pen.)
Bourigeaud (33'), Wooh (55'), Santamaria (81')
Belocian (33')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ioannidis (34' pen.)
Vagiannidis (44'), Perez (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Rennes and Panathinaikos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Nice 2-0 Rennes
Sunday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Panathinaikos

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Lamia 1-2 Panathinaikos
Saturday, November 4 at 3.30pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Rennes 2-1 Panathinaikos

Rennes have struggled to live up to the standards they set last season, but Genesio's men are still in a brilliant position to qualify into the knockout stages of the Europa League. Panathinaikos have enjoyed an impressive run of results domestically, but we feel the Greek Super League leaders will be slightly outclassed at Roazhon Park on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Panathinaikos
45.44% ( -0.09)	25.32% ( 0.03)	29.24% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 54.19% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.8% (

-0.08)

49.2% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.74% (

-0.07)

71.26% (

0.07)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35% (

-0.08)

21.65% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.23% (

-0.12)

54.77% (

0.12)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.16% (

0.01)

30.84% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.88% (

0.01)

67.12% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Rennes 45.44%

Panathinaikos 29.24%

Draw 25.31%

Rennes	Draw	Panathinaikos
1-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 45.44%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 29.24%