Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Rennes |
36.5% (![]() | 27.58% (![]() | 35.92% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.1% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.36% (![]() | 56.64% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.39% (![]() | 77.61% (![]() |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.25% (![]() | 29.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.18% (![]() | 65.82% (![]() |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.89% (![]() | 30.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.75% (![]() | 66.25% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 7.9% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.58% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.49% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 8.96% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.74% ( ![]() Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 10.75% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.82% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.45% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 25 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 70 | 24 | 46 | 65 |
2 | Marseille | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 49 |
3 | Nice | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 46 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Lille | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Lyon | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 40 |
8 | Lens | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
9 | Brest | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Toulouse | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
11 | Auxerre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Rennes | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 |
13 | Angers | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 27 |
14 | NantesNantes | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 24 |
15 | Reims | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 22 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 20 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |