Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Rennes |
36.5% ( -0.03) | 27.58% ( 0.01) | 35.92% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.1% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.36% ( -0.03) | 56.64% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.39% ( -0.03) | 77.61% ( 0.02) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.25% ( -0.03) | 29.75% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.18% ( -0.04) | 65.82% ( 0.04) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.89% ( -0) | 30.11% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.75% ( -0) | 66.25% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.49% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
9 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
10 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 6 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |