Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Villarreal1 - 0Rennes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Villarreal
Saturday, September 30 at 1pm in La Liga
Saturday, September 30 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rennes 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
We said: Villarreal 1-1 Rennes
Villarreal have made a very poor start to the season, but they have recent experience of winning the Europa League, while home advantage could also be an important factor. Given that Rennes have made a habit of drawing games so far this season, we expect the spoils to be shared on Thursday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Rennes |
36.76% ( -0.03) | 24.75% ( -0) | 38.49% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.65% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.5% ( 0.02) | 44.5% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.13% ( 0.02) | 66.87% ( -0.02) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.13% ( -0.01) | 23.87% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.94% ( -0.01) | 58.06% ( 0.01) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.04% ( 0.03) | 22.96% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.25% ( 0.04) | 56.75% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Villarreal 36.76%
Rennes 38.49%
Draw 24.75%
| Villarreal | Draw | Rennes |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.04% 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 36.76% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.49% |
How you voted: Villarreal vs Rennes
Villarreal
35.7%Draw
30.6%Rennes
33.7%98
Form Guide
