Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 5, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal
1 - 0
Rennes

Sorloth (36')
Pino (43'), Moreno (50'), Baena (54'), Pedraza (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Doue (27'), Truffert (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Villarreal and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Villarreal
Saturday, September 30 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rennes

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Rennes 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Villarreal 1-1 Rennes

Villarreal have made a very poor start to the season, but they have recent experience of winning the Europa League, while home advantage could also be an important factor. Given that Rennes have made a habit of drawing games so far this season, we expect the spoils to be shared on Thursday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Rennes
36.76% ( -0.03)	24.75% ( -0)	38.49% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 58.65% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.5% (

0.02)

44.5% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.13% (

0.02)

66.87% (

-0.02)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.13% (

-0.01)

23.87% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.94% (

-0.01)

58.06% (

0.01)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.04% (

0.03)

22.96% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.25% (

0.04)

56.75% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 36.76%

Rennes 38.49%

Draw 24.75%

Villarreal	Draw	Rennes
2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.04% 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 36.76%	1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.75%	1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.49%