With Union SG having very little to play for in this match, we can envisage Union Berlin edging a tight encounter on Thursday to progress to the knockout stages alongside their opponents. Fischer's side have scored three goals and only conceded twice in five European matches this season, so the Bundesliga leaders clearly possess the know-how to grind out results. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.

Result
Union SG	Draw	Union Berlin
42.58% ( -0.08)	22.77% ( -0.01)	34.65% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 65.71% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.84% (

0.08)

35.16% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.83% (

0.09)

57.17% (

-0.09)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.87% (

17.13% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.65%

47.35% (

-0)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.3% (

0.09)

20.7% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.69% (

0.13)

53.31% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Union SG 42.58%

Union Berlin 34.65%

Draw 22.77%

Union SG	Draw	Union Berlin
2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 42.58%	1-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.77%	1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 34.65%