Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Union Berlin2 - 0Dortmund
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Malmo
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 Sevilla
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Union Berlin 1-1 Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin are an extremely tough nut to crack, especially at Stadion An der Alten Forsterei, but we believe Dortmund have the confidence and attacking ability to return from the capital with a positive result. Terzic's side should have gained serious belief from last weekend's comeback in Der Klassiker, and ultimately both teams may be content with a share of the spoils to consolidate their positions in the table. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
30.82% ( -0.42) | 26.39% ( 0.21) | 42.79% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 51.61% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
